{"id":380,"date":"2026-07-13T21:07:30","date_gmt":"2026-07-13T13:07:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jianbao.661688.xyz\/?p=380"},"modified":"2026-07-13T21:07:30","modified_gmt":"2026-07-13T13:07:30","slug":"btc-%e5%91%a8%e6%8a%a5-%c2%b7-2026-07-13-2107","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jianbao.661688.xyz\/?p=380","title":{"rendered":"BTC \u5468\u62a5 \u00b7 2026-07-13 21:07"},"content":{"rendered":"
<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n

\n 2026-07-13 21:04 SGT<\/span>
\n Binance USDT\u6c38\u7eed\u5408\u7ea6 \u00b7 BTCUSDT<\/span>\n <\/div>\n
\n
\n BTC<\/span>
\n \u25bc $62,630<\/span>
\n -2.18%<\/span>\n <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n\n\n\n\n
\n
\u6c38\u7eed\u5408\u7ea6<\/div>\n
$62,630<\/div>\n
24H \u6210\u4ea4\u989d $85.2\u4ebf<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
\u73b0\u8d27 BTC\/USDT<\/div>\n
$62,630
\n -2.18%<\/span>\n <\/div>\n
24H \u6210\u4ea4\u989d $9.3\u4ebf \u00b7 \u57fa\u5dee -0<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\n
\u8d44\u91d1\u8d39\u7387<\/div>\n
+0.0083%<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
\u6301\u4ed3\u91cf OI 24H<\/div>\n
+2.74%<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

<\/p>\n

\n
\u8d44\u91d1\u8d39\u7387 Z-score<\/div>\n
+1.53<\/div>\n
\u4e2d\u5ea6\u504f\u9ad8\uff0c\u591a\u5934\u504f\u91cd\uff0c\u8c28\u614e\u8ffd\u591a<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
\u5e02\u573a\u72b6\u6001<\/div>\n
\u8fc7\u70ed \/ \u9876\u90e8\u98ce\u9669 \u26a0\ufe0f<\/div>\n
\u4e0d\u8ffd\u591a | \u7b49\u5f85\u8f67\u591a\u4fe1\u53f7 | \u591a\u5934\u8e29\u8e0f\u98ce\u9669\u9ad8<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n
<\/p>\n
\n Coinbase BTC\/USD<\/span>
\n $62,569<\/span>\n <\/div>\n
\n \u6ea2\u4ef7\u6307\u6570<\/span>
\n -61 USD<\/span>
\n (-0.098%)<\/span>
\n \u673a\u6784\u504f\u7a7a<\/span>\n <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\u25a0 \u505a\u591a\/\u76ee\u6807<\/span> \u25a0 \u505a\u7a7a\/\u6b62\u635f<\/span> \u25a0 \u5173\u952e\u4ef7\u4f4d<\/span> \u25a0 IB\/MP\u6570\u636e<\/span> \u25a0 \u5165\u573a\u89e6\u53d1<\/span><\/div>\n
<\/p>\n

> BTC\u6c38\u7eed\u5408\u7ea6\u5468\u62a5\u00b72026\u5e74\u7b2c28\u5468\uff0807-06\u81f307-13\uff09<\/p>\n

> \u5f53\u524d\u4ef7\uff1a$62,630<\/span> | \u5468\u6536\uff1a$63,750<\/span> | \u5468\u6da8\u8dcc\uff1a+0.21%<\/span><\/p>\n

> \u5e02\u573a\u72b6\u6001\uff1a\u8fc7\u70ed\/\u9876\u90e8\u98ce\u9669 | \u7efc\u5408\u4fe1\u53f7\u5206\uff1a+3\uff08\u4e2d\u6027\/\u4fe1\u53f7\u5f31\uff09<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n
\n

1. \u4e0a\u5468\u884c\u60c5\u603b\u89c8<\/p>\n

\n
<\/div>\n

\u4e0a\u5468\u5468K\u5448\u5c0f\u9633\u7ebf\u5f62\u6001\uff0c\u5f00\u76d8$63,617\u3001\u6536\u76d8$63,750\uff0c\u6da8\u5e45\u4ec5+0.21%<\/span>\uff0c\u5b9e\u4f53\u5fae\u5f31\u3002\u5468\u632f\u5e455.34%\uff08\u9ad8$64,692\u3001\u4f4e$61,297\uff09\uff0c\u632f\u5e45\u5904\u4e8e\u4e2d\u6027\u533a\u95f4\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u4ef7\u683c\u57286.1\u4e07-6.5\u4e07\u533a\u95f4\u9707\u8361\u6574\u7406\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u9010\u65e5\u8282\u594f\u5448\u73b0\u5148\u626c\u540e\u6291\u518d\u9707\u8361\u683c\u5c40\uff1a<\/p>\n

\u5468\u4e00\uff0807-06\uff09+0.64%<\/span>\u6536$64,024\uff0c\u5f00\u5468\u9996\u65e5\u5ef6\u7eed\u524d\u671f\u53cd\u5f39\uff1b<\/p>\n

\u5468\u4e8c\uff0807-07\uff09-1.07%<\/span>\u6536$63,335\uff0c\u51fa\u73b0\u9996\u6b21\u56de\u8c03\uff1b<\/p>\n

\u5468\u4e09\uff0807-08\uff09-1.71%<\/span>\u6536$62,255\uff0c\u5468\u5185\u6700\u5927\u8dcc\u5e45\uff0c\u89e6\u53ca\u5468\u4f4e$61,297\uff1b<\/p>\n

\u5468\u56db\uff0807-09\uff09+1.51%<\/span>\u6536$63,197\uff0cV\u578b\u53cd\u5f39\u542f\u52a8\uff1b<\/p>\n

\u5468\u4e94\uff0807-10\uff09+1.48%<\/span>\u6536$64,130\uff0c\u53cd\u5f39\u5ef6\u7eed\u89e6\u53ca\u5468\u9ad8$64,692\uff1b<\/p>\n

\u5468\u516d\uff0807-11\uff09-0.54%<\/span>\u6536$63,783\uff0c\u9ad8\u4f4d\u56de\u843d\uff1b<\/p>\n

\u5468\u65e5\uff0807-12\uff09-0.05%<\/span>\u6536$63,750\uff0c\u5e73\u7a33\u6536\u5b98\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u5468\u7ebf\u7ea7\u522b\u5224\u65ad\uff1a\u4ef7\u683c\u5728\u524d\u5468\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7$63,617\u9644\u8fd1\u62c9\u952f\uff0c\u5468\u6da8\u8dcc\u4ec5+0.21%<\/span>\uff0c\u5f62\u6001\u4e0a\u6784\u6210\u5341\u5b57\u661f\u7ea7\u522b\u7684\u6574\u7406\u5468K\u3002\u867d\u7136\u5468\u5185\u7ecf\u5386$61,297-$64,692<\/span>\u76845.34%\u632f\u5e45\uff0c\u4f46\u6700\u7ec8\u6536\u76d8\u672a\u80fd\u7a81\u7834\u5468\u521d\u5f00\u76d8\u4f4d\u7f6e\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u8be5\u4ef7\u683c\u533a\u95f4\u5b58\u5728\u5f3a\u70c8\u591a\u7a7a\u5206\u6b67\uff0c\u5468\u7ebf\u8d8b\u52bf\u5904\u4e8e\u9707\u8361\u5f85\u65b9\u5411\u9636\u6bb5\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n
\n

2. ETF\u8d44\u91d1\u6d41\u5468\u62a5<\/p>\n

\n
<\/div>\n

\u4e0a\u54685\u4e2a\u7f8e\u80a1\u4ea4\u6613\u65e5ETF\u8d44\u91d1\u6d41\u5408\u8ba1+197.4\u767e\u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5448\u73b0\u5148\u5f3a\u540e\u5f31\u518d\u56de\u7a33\u7684\u8282\u594f\uff1a<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

07-06\u5468\u4e00\uff1a+265.7M\uff0cIBIT\u5355\u65e5\u8d21\u732e+209M\uff0cGBTC\u6d41\u51fa-44M\uff0c\u5f00\u5468\u5f3a\u52bf\uff1b<\/p>\n

07-07\u5468\u4e8c\uff1a+21.5M\uff0cIBIT+55M\u3001FBTC-25M\uff0c\u6d41\u5165\u5927\u5e45\u840e\u7f29\uff1b<\/p>\n

07-08\u5468\u4e09\uff1a-84.9M\uff0cGBTC-64M\u3001IBIT-59M\uff0c\u9996\u73b0\u51c0\u6d41\u51fa\uff0c\u4e0e\u4ef7\u683c\u66b4\u8dcc-1.71%<\/span>\u540c\u6b65\uff1b<\/p>\n

07-09\u5468\u56db\uff1a-95.3M\uff0cFBTC-63M\u3001ARKB-40M\uff0c\u8fde\u7eed\u7b2c\u4e8c\u65e5\u6d41\u51fa\uff0c\u4f46\u4ef7\u683c\u9006\u52bf\u53cd\u5f39+1.51%<\/span>\uff1b<\/p>\n

07-10\u5468\u4e94\uff1a+90.4M\uff0cIBIT+87M\u3001HODL+4M\uff0c\u8d44\u91d1\u91cd\u56de\u6d41\u5165\uff0c\u4ef7\u683c\u540c\u6b65\u4e0a\u6da8+1.48%<\/span>\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u673a\u6784\u5468\u884c\u4e3a\u5b9a\u6027\uff1a\u524d\u534a\u5468\uff08\u5468\u4e00\u5468\u4e8c\uff09\u6d41\u5165$287.2M\uff0c\u4e2d\u6bb5\uff08\u5468\u4e09\u5468\u56db\uff09\u6d41\u51fa$180.2M\uff0c\u5468\u4e94\u56de\u8865\u6d41\u5165$90.4M\uff0c\u6574\u4f53\u5448\u73b0”\u6d41\u5165-\u8c03\u6574\u6d41\u51fa-\u518d\u6d41\u5165”\u7684\u6447\u6446\u683c\u5c40\u3002IBIT\u5168\u5468\u4e3b\u5bfc\u4e70\u5165\u65b9\uff0cGBTC\u3001FBTC\u3001ARKB\u4e3a\u4e3b\u8981\u6d41\u51fa\u65b9\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u8d44\u91d1\u6d41\u4e0e\u4ef7\u683c\u5173\u7cfb\uff1a\u5468\u4e09\u5468\u56db\u51fa\u73b0\u5178\u578b\u80cc\u79bb\u2014\u2014ETF\u8fde\u7eed\u51c0\u6d41\u51fa$180.2M\uff0c\u4f46\u4ef7\u683c\u5728\u5468\u56db\u5f3a\u52bf\u53cd\u5f39+1.51%<\/span>\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u94fe\u4e0a\u6216\u4e9a\u6d32\u8d44\u91d1\u63a5\u76d8\u3002\u5468\u4e94\u8d44\u91d1\u6d41\u4e0e\u4ef7\u683c\u91cd\u65b0\u540c\u6b65\u4e0a\u884c\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u5bf9\u4e0b\u5468\u542b\u4e49\uff1a\u5468\u7d2f\u8ba1\u51c0\u6d41\u5165+197.4M\u5c5e\u4e8e\u4e2d\u6027\u504f\u591a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u4f46\u6d41\u5165\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u5468\u521d\uff0c\u4e2d\u6bb5\u51fa\u73b0\u8fde\u7eed\u6d41\u51fa\u663e\u793a\u673a\u6784\u5206\u6b67\u52a0\u5927\u3002\u5f53\u524d\u8fde\u7eed1\u65e5\u51c0\u6d41\u5165\uff08\u4ec5\u5468\u4e94\uff09\uff0c\u8fde\u7eed\u6027\u4e0d\u8db3\uff0c\u4e0b\u5468\u9700\u89c2\u5bdf\u5468\u4e00\u662f\u5426\u5ef6\u7eed\u6d41\u5165\uff0c\u82e5\u5468\u4e00\u518d\u73b0\u6d41\u51fa\u5219\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u53d1\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u8c03\u6574\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n
\n

3. \u884d\u751f\u54c1\u5468\u62a5<\/p>\n

\n
<\/div>\n

OI\u5468\u53d8\u5316\uff1a\u5468\u521d6.70B\u7f8e\u5143\u964d\u81f3\u5468\u672b6.42B\uff0c\u4e0b\u964d-4.25%<\/span>\uff0c\u5468\u5185\u6700\u4f4e\u89e6\u53ca6.16B\u3002OI\u4e0b\u964d\u914d\u5408\u4ef7\u683c\u9707\u8361\u5fae\u6da8+0.21%<\/span>\uff0c\u6027\u8d28\u4e3a\u6e29\u548c\u53bb\u6760\u6746\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u5468\u4e09\u66b4\u8dcc\u65f6\u90e8\u5206\u591a\u5934\u6b62\u635f\u79bb\u573a\uff0c\u4f46\u672a\u5f15\u53d1\u8e29\u8e0f\u5f0f\u5d29\u6e83\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u8d44\u91d1\u8d39\u7387\u5468\u6e29\u5ea6\uff1a\u5468\u5747\u503c+0.0064%<\/span>\uff0c\u5904\u4e8e\u4e2d\u6027\u504f\u591a\u533a\u95f4\uff1b\u5468\u5185\u6700\u9ad8+0.0100%<\/span>\u3001\u6700\u4f4e-0.0003%<\/span>\uff0c\u8d39\u7387\u5728\u96f6\u8f74\u9644\u8fd1\u6ce2\u52a8\u300221\u4e2a\u7ed3\u7b97\u65f6\u6bb5\u4e2d\u65e0\u4e00\u6b21|rate|>0.05%\u7684\u6781\u7aef\u503c\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u5168\u5468\u591a\u7a7a\u529b\u91cf\u76f8\u5bf9\u5e73\u8861\uff0c\u65e0\u660e\u663e\u62e5\u6324\u3002W7\u7edf\u8ba1\u663e\u793a\u5468\u51854\/21\u4e2a\u65f6\u6bb5|Z|>2\uff0c\u5360\u6bd419%\uff0c\u5904\u4e8e\u6b63\u5e38\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u5f53\u524d\u4e94\u6240\u8d39\u7387\u5bf9\u6bd4\uff1aBinance+0.0083%<\/span>\u6700\u9ad8\uff0cBybit+0.0009%<\/span>\u6700\u4f4e\uff0c\u4e94\u6240\u5747\u503c+0.0042%<\/span>\uff0c\u5f53\u524dBinance\u8d39\u7387Z-score\u4e3a+1.53\uff08\u4e2d\u5ea6\u504f\u9ad8\uff09\uff0c\u8bf4\u660eBinance\u5e73\u53f0\u591a\u5934\u7565\u663e\u62e5\u6324\uff0c\u4f46\u6574\u4f53\u5e02\u573a\u8d39\u7387\u4ecd\u5c5e\u4e2d\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u57fa\u5dee\u4e0e\u6210\u4ea4\uff1a\u5f53\u524d\u57fa\u5dee-26\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u6c38\u7eed\u5408\u7ea6\u8f7b\u5fae\u8d34\u6c34\u73b0\u8d27\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u671f\u8d27\u7aef\u60c5\u7eea\u7565\u504f\u8c28\u614e\u3002\u5468\u6210\u4ea4\u989d62.3B\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u8f83\u524d\u546874.1B\u4e0b\u964d-15.9%<\/span>\uff0c\u6210\u4ea4\u91cf\u840e\u7f29\u5370\u8bc1\u5e02\u573a\u89c2\u671b\u60c5\u7eea\u6d53\u539a\uff0c\u53c2\u4e0e\u5ea6\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u7efc\u5408\u5224\u65ad\uff1aOI\u4e0b\u964d-4.25%<\/span>+\u8d39\u7387\u6e29\u548c+\u6210\u4ea4\u840e\u7f29-15.9%<\/span>\uff0c\u4e09\u91cd\u4fe1\u53f7\u6307\u5411\u53bb\u6760\u6746\u540e\u7684\u4f4e\u6ce2\u9707\u8361\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u6b63\u5728\u6d88\u5316\u524d\u671f\u591a\u5934\u62e5\u6324\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e0b\u4e00\u6ce2\u65b9\u5411\u6027\u884c\u60c5\u84c4\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n
\n

4. \u5e02\u573a\u7ed3\u6784\u5468\u62a5<\/p>\n

\n
<\/div>\n

\u8c61\u9650\u65f6\u95f4\u5360\u6bd4\uff082013\u4e2a5\u5206\u949f\u6837\u672c\uff09\uff1a<\/p>\n

FLAT\u9707\u8361\u536056.6%\uff0c\u4e3b\u5bfc\u5168\u5468\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e00\u534a\u65f6\u95f4\uff1b<\/p>\n

Q4\uff08OI\u964d+\u4ef7\u8dcc\uff09\u536022.5%\uff0c\u4e3a\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5927\u8c61\u9650\uff0c\u5bf9\u5e94\u5468\u4e09\u66b4\u8dcc\u53bb\u6760\u6746\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff1b<\/p>\n

Q1\uff08OI\u5347+\u4ef7\u6da8\uff09\u536019.8%\uff0c\u4e3a\u7b2c\u4e09\u5927\u8c61\u9650\uff0c\u5bf9\u5e94\u5468\u56db\u5468\u4e94\u53cd\u5f39\u9636\u6bb5\uff1b<\/p>\n

Q2\uff08OI\u964d+\u4ef7\u6da8\uff09\u4ec50.7%\u3001Q3\uff08OI\u5347+\u4ef7\u8dcc\uff09\u4ec50.4%\uff0c\u51e0\u4e4e\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u5360\u6bd4\u89e3\u8bfb\uff1aFLAT\u5360\u6bd456.6%\u521b\u4e0a\u5468\u6570\u636e\u5757\u4e2d\u6700\u9ad8\uff0c\u5370\u8bc1\u4ef7\u683c\u9707\u8361\u6574\u7406\u6027\u8d28\u3002Q4\u5360\u6bd422.5%\u663e\u793a\u53bb\u6760\u6746\u529b\u91cf\u660e\u663e\uff0cQ1\u5360\u6bd419.8%\u7565\u4f4e\u4e8eQ4\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u591a\u5934\u53cd\u653b\u529b\u5ea6\u7a0d\u5f31\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u7ed3\u6784\u504f\u9632\u5b88\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u4e09\u56e0\u5b50\u72b6\u6001\u5468\u6f14\u53d8\uff1a\u6570\u636e\u6e90\u6807\u6ce8”\u8be5\u6e90\u65e0\u5386\u53f2\u2014\u2014\u4e09\u56e0\u5b50\u72b6\u6001\u4e3a\u7b80\u62a5\u5b9e\u65f6\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u672a\u6301\u4e45\u5316\u843d\u5e93”\uff0c\u65e0\u6cd5\u63d0\u4f9b\u5468\u5386\u53f2\u5e8f\u5217\u3002\u5f53\u524d\u5b9e\u65f6\u4e09\u56e0\u5b50\u72b6\u6001\u4e3a”\u8fc7\u70ed\/\u9876\u90e8\u98ce\u9669”\uff08OI\u4e0a\u5347+\u8d39\u7387\u504f\u9ad8+\u591a\u5934\u62e5\u6324\uff09\uff0c\u63d0\u793a\u4e0d\u8ffd\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u5927\u6237\u4ed3\u4f4d\u5468\u53d8\u5316\uff1a\u5468\u521d\u5927\u6237\u591a\u7a7a\u6bd41.316\uff08\u591a56.8%\/\u7a7a43.2%\uff09\uff0c\u5468\u672b\u5347\u81f31.428\uff08\u591a58.8%\/\u7a7a41.2%\uff09\uff0c\u5468\u5185\u6781\u503c1.262-1.508\u3002\u5927\u6237\u591a\u5934\u4ed3\u4f4d\u5468\u5185\u51c0\u589e2.0\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u5927\u6237\u9022\u4f4e\u52a0\u591a\uff0c\u4f46\u5e45\u5ea6\u6e29\u548c\uff0c\u672a\u5f62\u6210\u5355\u8fb9\u62e5\u6324\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u7efc\u5408\u7ed3\u6784\u5224\u65ad\uff1aFLAT\u5360\u6bd4\u8fc7\u534a+Q4\u53bb\u6760\u6746\u5360\u6bd4\u663e\u8457+\u5927\u6237\u591a\u5934\u6e29\u548c\u589e\u4ed3\uff0c\u6307\u5411\u9707\u8361\u7b51\u5e95\u683c\u5c40\uff0c\u4f46\u5f53\u524d\u5b9e\u65f6\u72b6\u6001\u663e\u793a\u591a\u5934\u62e5\u6324\u5ea6\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4e0b\u5468\u9700\u8b66\u60d5\u591a\u5934\u8e29\u8e0f\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n
\n

5. \u5468Volume Profile<\/p>\n

\n
<\/div>\n

\u672c\u5468\u5468VP\u6838\u5fc3\u6570\u636e\uff1aPOC<\/span>$64,050\u3001VAH<\/span>$64,500\u3001VAL<\/span>$62,750\uff0c\u4ef7\u503c\u533a\u5bbd\u5ea6$1,750\u3002<\/p>\n

\u524d\u5468\u5bf9\u6bd4\uff1aPOC<\/span>$58,500\u3001VAH<\/span>$61,500\u3001VAL<\/span>$58,150\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u4e0e\u524d\u5468VA\u5173\u7cfb\uff1a\u672c\u5468POC<\/span>$64,050\u9ad8\u4e8e\u524d\u5468VAH<\/span>$61,500\uff0c\u4ef7\u503c\u533a\u6574\u4f53\u4e0a\u79fb\u7ea6$4,000-$5,000<\/span>\uff0c\u6027\u8d28\u4e3a”\u4e0a\u79fb”\uff08\u4ef7\u683c\u91cd\u5fc3\u4e0a\u8fc1\uff0c\u524d\u5468\u4ef7\u503c\u533a\u88ab\u5e02\u573a\u62d2\u7edd\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u672c\u5468POC<\/span>$64,050\u7684\u542b\u4e49\uff1a\u8be5\u4ef7\u4f4d\u662f\u5168\u5468\u6210\u4ea4\u91cf\u6700\u5bc6\u96c6\u533a\u57df\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868\u591a\u7a7a\u8ba4\u540c\u7684\u516c\u5141\u4ef7\u503c\u4e2d\u67a2\u3002\u5f53\u524d\u4ef7$62,630\u4f4d\u4e8ePOC<\/span>\u4e0b\u65b9\u7ea6$1,420\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u4ef7\u683c\u5728\u5468\u672b\u56de\u843d\u81f3\u4ef7\u503c\u533a\u4e0b\u6cbf\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u5904\u4e8e\u5f31\u52bf\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

VAH<\/span>$64,500\uff1a\u4ef7\u503c\u533a\u4e0a\u6cbf\uff0c\u672c\u5468\u4ec5\u5468\u4e94\u89e6\u53ca\u5468\u9ad8$64,692\u540e\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u672a\u80fd\u7ad9\u7a33VAH<\/span>\u4e0a\u65b9\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e$64,500\u4e0a\u65b9\u5b58\u5728\u8f83\u5f3a\u629b\u538b\u3002<\/p>\n

VAL<\/span>$62,750\uff1a\u4ef7\u503c\u533a\u4e0b\u6cbf\uff0c\u5f53\u524d\u4ef7$62,630\u521a\u597d\u5904\u4e8eVAL<\/span>\u4e0b\u65b9$120\uff0c\u82e5\u8dcc\u7834$62,750\u5219\u8fdb\u5165\u4ef7\u503c\u533a\u5916\u7684\u5f31\u52bf\u533a\u57df\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u4e0b\u5468\u4ef7\u503c\u533a\u6846\u67b6\uff1a<\/p>\n

\u652f\u6491\u4f4d\uff1aVAL<\/span>$62,750\u4e3a\u4e0b\u5468\u5173\u952e\u9632\u5b88\u7ebf\uff0c\u8dcc\u7834\u5219\u53ef\u80fd\u6d4b\u8bd5\u5468\u4f4e$61,297\uff1b<\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u67a2\u4f4d\uff1aPOC<\/span>$64,050\u4e3a\u591a\u7a7a\u5e73\u8861\u4f4d\uff0c\u91cd\u8fd4\u8be5\u4f4d\u662f\u591a\u5934\u4fee\u590d\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u76ee\u6807\uff1b<\/p>\n

\u963b\u529b\u4f4d\uff1aVAH<\/span>$64,500\u4e3a\u4ef7\u503c\u533a\u4e0a\u754c\uff0c\u7a81\u7834\u9700\u914d\u5408\u6210\u4ea4\u91cf\u653e\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u5f53\u524d\u4f4d\u7f6e$62,630\u5904\u4e8eVAL<\/span>\u8fb9\u7f18\uff0c\u4e0b\u5468\u5f00\u76d8\u82e5\u8dcc\u7834VAL<\/span>$62,750\u5219\u504f\u7a7a\uff0c\u7ad9\u7a33POC<\/span>$64,050\u5219\u8f6c\u4e2d\u6027\uff0c\u7a81\u7834VAH<\/span>$64,500\u5219\u504f\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n
\n

6. \u8ba2\u5355\u6d41\u5468\u62a5<\/p>\n

\n
<\/div>\n

\u5468Delta\u7d2f\u79ef\uff1a\u5168\u5468\u5408\u8ba1-1,950.2 BTC\uff0c\u51c0\u5356\u538b\u5360\u4f18\u3002\u9010\u65e5Delta\uff1a<\/p>\n

07-06\uff1a-91.2 BTC\uff0c\u5468\u4e00\u4ef7\u683c+0.64%<\/span>\uff0cDelta\u8f7b\u5fae\u4e3a\u8d1f\uff0c\u591a\u7a7a\u5747\u8861\uff1b<\/p>\n

07-07\uff1a-5,578.8 BTC\uff0c\u5468\u4e8c\u4ef7\u683c-1.07%<\/span>\uff0cDelta\u5927\u5e45\u4e3a\u8d1f\uff0c\u4e3b\u52a8\u5356\u76d8\u6d8c\u73b0\uff1b<\/p>\n

07-08\uff1a-3,289.9 BTC\uff0c\u5468\u4e09\u66b4\u8dcc-1.71%<\/span>\uff0cDelta\u6301\u7eed\u8d1f\u503c\uff0c\u6050\u614c\u6027\u629b\u552e\uff1b<\/p>\n

07-09\uff1a+3,460.7 BTC\uff0c\u5468\u56db\u53cd\u5f39+1.51%<\/span>\uff0cDelta\u8f6c\u6b63\uff0c\u4e70\u76d8\u4ecb\u5165\uff1b<\/p>\n

07-10\uff1a+6,238.2 BTC\uff0c\u5468\u4e94\u4e0a\u6da8+1.48%<\/span>\uff0cDelta\u5927\u5e45\u4e3a\u6b63\uff0c\u591a\u5934\u63a5\u529b\uff1b<\/p>\n

07-11\uff1a-2,323.4 BTC\uff0c\u5468\u516d\u56de\u843d-0.54%<\/span>\uff0cDelta\u91cd\u65b0\u8f6c\u8d1f\uff1b<\/p>\n

07-12\uff1a-365.7 BTC\uff0c\u5468\u65e5\u5e73\u7a33\uff0cDelta\u5c0f\u5e45\u4e3a\u8d1f\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u5468Delta\u683c\u5c40\uff1a\u524d\u4e09\u65e5\uff08\u5468\u4e00\u81f3\u5468\u4e09\uff09\u7d2f\u8ba1-8,959.9 BTC\uff0c\u4e2d\u6bb5\uff08\u5468\u56db\u5468\u4e94\uff09\u56de\u8865+9,698.9 BTC\uff0c\u540e\u4e24\u65e5\uff08\u5468\u516d\u5468\u65e5\uff09\u518d\u6d41\u51fa-2,689.1 BTC\u3002\u867d\u7136\u5468\u56db\u5468\u4e94\u51fa\u73b0\u5f3a\u52b2\u4e70\u76d8\uff0c\u4f46\u5468\u672b\u518d\u5ea6\u8f6c\u8d1f\uff0c\u4e14\u5168\u5468\u7d2f\u8ba1\u4ecd\u4e3a\u8d1f\u503c\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u4e70\u76d8\u53cd\u653b\u672a\u80fd\u6539\u53d8\u5356\u538b\u4e3b\u5bfc\u683c\u5c40\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u5927\u5355\u7edf\u8ba1\uff1a\u4e70\u51652,464\u7b14\u5408\u8ba170,875 BTC\uff0c\u5356\u51fa2,368\u7b14\u5408\u8ba166,420 BTC\uff0c\u51c0\u4e70\u51654,455 BTC\u3002\u5927\u5355\u51c0\u5411\u4e0e\u5468Delta\u65b9\u5411\u76f8\u53cd\uff08\u5927\u5355\u51c0\u4e70+4,455 vs \u603bDelta-1,950\uff09\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u5927\u5355\u4e70\u5165\u4e3b\u8981\u5728\u5468\u56db\u5468\u4e94\u53cd\u5f39\u65f6\u5efa\u4ed3\uff0c\u4f46\u5c0f\u5355\u6563\u6237\u6301\u7eed\u51c0\u5356\u51fa\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u9cb8\u5355\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff1a\u5468\u5185\u6700\u5927\u9cb8\u5355\u51fa\u73b0\u572807-07 10:29\uff0c1,000 BTC @ $63,590<\/span>\u5356\u5355\uff0c\u6b63\u503c\u5468\u4e8c\u5f00\u59cb\u4e0b\u8dcc\u65f6\uff0c\u8be5\u5355\u53ef\u80fd\u89e6\u53d1\u540e\u7eed\u66b4\u8dcc\u3002\u5468\u4e9417:11\u51fa\u73b0719 BTC @ $64,200<\/span>\u4e70\u5355\uff0c\u5bf9\u5e94\u5468\u4e94\u53cd\u5f39\u9ad8\u70b9\u3002\u5468\u516d06:52\u51fa\u73b0387 BTC @ $64,100<\/span>\u5356\u5355\uff0c\u5bf9\u5e94\u5468\u516d\u9ad8\u4f4d\u56de\u843d\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u4e0e\u4ef7\u683c\u5173\u7cfb\uff1a\u5468\u56db\u5468\u4e94Delta\u4e0e\u4ef7\u683c\u540c\u6b65\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u4e70\u76d8\u771f\u5b9e\uff1b\u4f46\u5468\u516d\u5468\u65e5\u4ef7\u683c\u5e73\u7a33\u800cDelta\u8f6c\u8d1f\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u9ad8\u4f4d\u629b\u538b\u518d\u8d77\u3002\u5f53\u524d4\u5c0f\u65f6CVD\u7d2f\u8ba1-4,736.5 BTC\uff0c\u5ef6\u7eed\u5356\u538b\u4e3b\u5bfc\uff0c\u4e0b\u5468\u5f00\u76d8\u9700\u8b66\u60d5Delta\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e3a\u8d1f\u5f15\u53d1\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n
\n

7. \u6e05\u7b97\u4e0e\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d<\/p>\n

\n
<\/div>\n

\u6e05\u7b97\u683c\u5c40\uff1aW7\u6807\u6ce8”Gate\u6e05\u7b97\uff1a\u5468\u5185\u65e0\u8bb0\u5f55\uff1bOKX\u6e05\u7b97\u6e90\u65e0\u5386\u53f2\u843d\u5e93\uff1bBinance\u6e05\u7b97WS\u5fb7\u56fdIP\u88ab\u5c01\uff0c\u65e0\u8be5\u6e90”\uff0c\u65e0\u6cd5\u83b7\u53d6\u5468\u6e05\u7b97\u6570\u636e\u3002\u4eceOI\u4e0b\u964d-4.25%<\/span>\u63a8\u6d4b\u5468\u4e09\u66b4\u8dcc\u65f6\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u751f\u591a\u5355\u6e05\u7b97\uff0c\u4f46\u7f3a\u4e4f\u9010\u7b14\u6e05\u7b97\u6570\u636e\u9a8c\u8bc1\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u6050\u60e7\u8d2a\u5a6a\u6307\u6570\uff1a\u5468\u521d24\uff08Fear\uff09\u5347\u81f3\u6700\u65b028\uff08Fear\uff09\uff0c8\u65e5\u5e8f\u5217\u4e3a24\u219227\u219220\u219222\u219223\u219226\u219226\u219228\uff0c\u5468\u5185\u6781\u503c20-28\u3002\u6307\u6570\u5728Fear\u533a\u95f4\u5e95\u90e8\u9707\u8361\uff0c\u5468\u672b\u7565\u6709\u56de\u5347\u4f46\u4ecd\u5904\u6050\u60e7\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u8c28\u614e\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u62e5\u6324\u5ea6\u7efc\u5408\uff1a\u8d44\u91d1\u8d39\u7387\u5168\u5468\u65e0\u6781\u7aef\u65f6\u6bb5\uff08|rate|>0.05%\u76840\u6b21\uff09\uff0c\u4f46|Z|>2\u65f6\u6bb54\/21\u4e2a\u5360\u6bd419%\uff0c\u5f53\u524dBinance\u8d39\u7387Z-score+1.53\uff08\u4e2d\u5ea6\u504f\u9ad8\uff09\uff1b\u5927\u6237\u591a\u7a7a\u6bd4\u5468\u672b1.428\uff0c\u591a\u5934\u5360\u6bd458.8%\uff0c\u8f83\u5468\u521d56.8%\u4e0a\u53472\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u62e5\u6324\u5ea6\u6e29\u548c\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u5f53\u524d\u4e09\u56e0\u5b50\u72b6\u6001\u4e3a”\u8fc7\u70ed\/\u9876\u90e8\u98ce\u9669”\uff0c\u591a\u5934\u62e5\u6324\u5ea6\u63a5\u8fd1\u8b66\u6212\u7ebf\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

Coinbase\u6ea2\u4ef7\uff1a\u5f53\u524d-61\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u673a\u6784\u504f\u7a7a\u3002\u5468\u5185\u6ea2\u4ef7\u6301\u7eed\u4e3a\u8d1f\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u7f8e\u56fd\u673a\u6784\u60c5\u7eea\u504f\u8c28\u614e\uff0c\u629b\u552e\u610f\u613f\u5f3a\u4e8e\u4e70\u5165\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u98ce\u9669\u504f\u597d\u5b9a\u6027\uff1aF&G\u6307\u657028\uff08Fear\uff09+\u8d39\u7387\u62e5\u6324\u5ea6\u4e0a\u5347+CB\u6ea2\u4ef7-61+\u4e09\u56e0\u5b50\u72b6\u6001”\u8fc7\u70ed”\uff0c\u7efc\u5408\u5224\u65ad\u4e3aRisk-off\uff08\u98ce\u9669\u538c\u6076\uff09\u72b6\u6001\u3002\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u8c28\u614e\uff0c\u591a\u5934\u62e5\u6324\u5ea6\u4e0a\u5347\u4f46\u4fe1\u5fc3\u4e0d\u8db3\uff0c\u4e0b\u5468\u82e5\u51fa\u73b0\u50ac\u5316\u5242\u53ef\u80fd\u89e6\u53d1\u591a\u5934\u8e29\u8e0f\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n
\n

8. \u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u5730\u56fe<\/p>\n

\n
<\/div>\n

\u4e0a\u65b9BSL\u7c07\uff08\u6446\u52a8\u9ad8\u70b9\u4e0a\u65b9\u6b62\u635f\/\u8ffd\u6da8\u5355\u5bc6\u96c6\u533a\uff09\uff1a<\/p>\n

$64,680<\/span>\uff0807-10\u5f62\u6210\uff09\uff1a\u4e0a\u5468\u4e94\u53cd\u5f39\u9ad8\u70b9\u4e0a\u65b9\uff0c\u8ddd\u5f53\u524d\u4ef7+$2,050<\/span>\uff08+3.3%<\/span>\uff09\uff1b<\/p>\n

$64,692<\/span>\uff0807-06\u5f62\u6210\uff09\uff1a\u4e0a\u5468\u4e00\u9ad8\u70b9\u4e0a\u65b9\uff0c\u4e3a\u5468\u9ad8\u4f4d\u7f6e\uff0c\u8ddd\u5f53\u524d\u4ef7+$2,062<\/span>\uff08+3.3%<\/span>\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u4e24\u6863BSL\u9ad8\u5ea6\u91cd\u5408\u5728$64,680-$64,692<\/span>\u533a\u95f4\uff0c\u8be5\u533a\u57df\u6c47\u805a\u5468\u5185\u591a\u5934\u6b62\u635f\u5355+\u8ffd\u6da8\u7a81\u7834\u5355\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e0b\u5468\u4e0a\u884c\u9996\u8981\u730e\u53d6\u76ee\u6807\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u4e0b\u65b9SSL\u7c07\uff08\u6446\u52a8\u4f4e\u70b9\u4e0b\u65b9\u6b62\u635f\/\u6284\u5e95\u5355\u5bc6\u96c6\u533a\uff09\uff1a<\/p>\n

$61,520<\/span>\uff0807-08\u5f62\u6210\uff09\uff1a\u4e0a\u5468\u4e09\u66b4\u8dcc\u89e6\u53ca\u4f4e\u70b9\u4e0a\u65b9\uff0c\u8ddd\u5f53\u524d\u4ef7-$1,110<\/span>\uff08-1.8%<\/span>\uff09\uff1b<\/p>\n

$61,297<\/span>\uff0807-06\u5f62\u6210\uff09\uff1a\u4e0a\u5468\u771f\u5b9e\u4f4e\u70b9\uff0c\u8ddd\u5f53\u524d\u4ef7-$1,333<\/span>\uff08-2.1%<\/span>\uff09\uff1b<\/p>\n

$57,759<\/span>\uff0807-01\u5f62\u6210\uff09\uff1a7\u6708\u521d\u5927\u8dcc\u4f4e\u70b9\uff0c\u8ddd\u5f53\u524d\u4ef7-$4,871<\/span>\uff08-7.8%<\/span>\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u4e0b\u65b9SSL\u5448\u73b0\u4e09\u9636\u7ed3\u6784\uff1a\u7b2c\u4e00\u6863$61,520-$61,297<\/span>\u4e3a\u8fd1\u671f\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u8ddd\u79bb\u8f83\u8fd1\uff1b\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6863$57,759\u4e3a\u6708\u5ea6\u4f4e\u70b9\uff0c\u4e0b\u7834\u5219\u5f62\u6001\u6076\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

CME\u5386\u53f2\u7f3a\u53e3\uff1a\u5168\u90e83\u4e2a\u7f3a\u53e3\u5747\u5728\u4e0a\u65b9\u672a\u586b\u8865\uff0c\u4f46\u8ddd\u79bb\u9065\u8fdc\uff1a<\/p>\n

$69,000<\/span>–$70,000<\/span>\uff08Q1\u4e2d\u6bb5\u7f3a\u53e3\uff09\uff1a\u8ddd\u5f53\u524d\u4ef7+$6,370<\/span>\uff08+10.2%<\/span>\uff09\uff1b<\/p>\n

$78,000<\/span>–$78,500<\/span>\uff08Q1\u6b21\u9ad8\u4f4d\u7f3a\u53e3\uff09\uff1a\u8ddd\u5f53\u524d\u4ef7+$15,370<\/span>\uff08+24.5%<\/span>\uff09\uff1b<\/p>\n

$79,200<\/span>–$80,400<\/span>\uff081\u6708\u672b\u9ad8\u4f4d\u7f3a\u53e3\uff09\uff1a\u8ddd\u5f53\u524d\u4ef7+$16,570<\/span>\uff08+26.5%<\/span>\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u6700\u8fd1\u7f3a\u53e3$69,000\u9700\u6da8\u8d8510%\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u5438\u5f15\u529b\u6709\u9650\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u730e\u53d6\u76ee\u6807\uff1a\u4e0b\u5468\u6700\u53ef\u80fd\u8def\u5f84\u4e3a\u53cc\u5411\u626b\u8361\u2014\u2014\u5148\u4e0b\u63a2\u730e\u53d6SSL$61,520-$61,297<\/span>\uff08\u8ddd\u79bb\u4ec5-1.8%<\/span>\u81f3-2.1%<\/span>\uff0c\u89e6\u624b\u53ef\u53ca\uff09\uff0c\u82e5\u6210\u529f\u9632\u5b88\u5219\u53cd\u8eab\u4e0a\u653bBSL$64,680-$64,692<\/span>\uff08+3.3%<\/span>\uff09\uff0c\u7a81\u7834\u5219\u53ef\u80fd\u5ef6\u7eed\u81f3\u5468POC<\/span>\u4e0a\u65b9\u3002\u82e5$61,297\u5931\u5b88\u5219\u52a0\u901f\u730e\u53d6$57,759\u6df1\u5ea6\u652f\u6491\u3002CME\u7f3a\u53e3\u78c1\u529b\u8bc4\u4f30\uff1a$69K\u7f3a\u53e3\u9700\u6da8\u8d8510%\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u51fa\u73b0\u7a81\u53d1\u5229\u597d\uff0c\u5426\u5219\u4e0b\u5468\u96be\u4ee5\u4f01\u53ca\uff0c\u4f18\u5148\u5173\u6ce8VP\u4e0eSSL\/BSL\u7ed3\u6784\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n
\n

9. \u4e0a\u5468\u7b80\u62a5\u590d\u76d8<\/p>\n

\n
<\/div>\n

\u8bc4\u5206\u4e0e\u5b9e\u9645\u8d70\u52bf\u5bf9\u7167\uff08\u65e5\u671f|\u65e5\u5747\u5206|\u5f53\u65e5\u6da8\u8dcc\uff09\uff1a<\/p>\n

07-06\uff1a+25.0 \u2192 +0.64%<\/span>\uff0c\u4fe1\u53f7\u4e0e\u4ef7\u683c\u4e00\u81f4\uff08\u504f\u591a\/\u4e0a\u6da8\uff09\uff1b<\/p>\n

07-07\uff1a+12.7 \u2192 -1.07%<\/span>\uff0c\u4fe1\u53f7\u504f\u591a\u4f46\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u80cc\u79bb\uff1b<\/p>\n

07-08\uff1a-1.0 \u2192 -1.71%<\/span>\uff0c\u4fe1\u53f7\u4e2d\u6027\u4f46\u4ef7\u683c\u66b4\u8dcc\uff0c\u4f4e\u4f30\u98ce\u9669\uff1b<\/p>\n

07-09\uff1a-1.7 \u2192 +1.51%<\/span>\uff0c\u4fe1\u53f7\u4e2d\u6027\u504f\u7a7a\u4f46\u4ef7\u683c\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u80cc\u79bb\uff1b<\/p>\n

07-10\uff1a-4.3 \u2192 +1.48%<\/span>\uff0c\u4fe1\u53f7\u504f\u7a7a\u4f46\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u660e\u663e\u80cc\u79bb\uff1b<\/p>\n

07-11\uff1a+9.3 \u2192 -0.54%<\/span>\uff0c\u4fe1\u53f7\u504f\u591a\u4f46\u4ef7\u683c\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u8f7b\u5fae\u80cc\u79bb\uff1b<\/p>\n

07-12\uff1a+13.3 \u2192 -0.05%<\/span>\uff0c\u4fe1\u53f7\u504f\u591a\u4ef7\u683c\u5e73\u7a33\uff0c\u57fa\u672c\u4e00\u81f4\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u543b\u5408\u5ea6\u81ea\u8bc4\uff1a7\u65e5\u4e2d\u660e\u786e\u80cc\u79bb4\u65e5\uff08\u5468\u4e8c\u5468\u56db\u5468\u4e94\u5468\u516d\uff09\uff0c\u543b\u54083\u65e5\uff08\u5468\u4e00\u5468\u4e09\u5468\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5468\u56db\u5468\u4e94\u51fa\u73b0\u8fde\u7eed\u80cc\u79bb\uff0c\u4fe1\u53f7\u4e3a\u8d1f\u5206\u4f46\u4ef7\u683c\u5f3a\u52bf\u53cd\u5f39\uff0c\u53cd\u6620\u7b80\u62a5\u5bf9\u5468\u4e09\u66b4\u8dcc\u540e\u7684V\u578b\u53cd\u5f39\u9884\u5224\u4e0d\u8db3\u3002\u4e0a\u5468\u7efc\u5408\u4fe1\u53f7\u5206\u5728\u9707\u8361\u5e02\u4e2d\u6709\u6548\u6027\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u80cc\u79bb\u7387\u8fbe57%\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u5f15\u64ce\u4fe1\u53f7\u5468\u62a5\uff1aW9\u6807\u6ce8”\u5f15\u64ce\u6837\u672c\u7d2f\u79ef\u4e2d\uff08\u5168\u5e93\u7ec8\u60010\/30\uff09\uff0c\u672c\u8282\u968f\u6837\u672c\u81ea\u52a8\u5145\u5b9e”\uff0c\u5f15\u64ce\u7ec8\u6001\u4fe1\u53f7\u672c\u5468\u4ecd\u4e3a0\u6761\uff0c\u7cfb\u7edf\u4ecd\u5728\u7d2f\u79ef30\u6761\u57fa\u7840\u6837\u672c\uff0c\u6682\u65e0\u5f15\u64ce\u4fe1\u53f7\u53ef\u7528\u4e8e\u56de\u6d4b\u9a8c\u8bc1\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u8bda\u5b9e\u53cd\u601d\uff1a\u4e0a\u5468\u7efc\u5408\u8bc4\u5206\u7cfb\u7edf\u5728\u9707\u8361\u62c9\u952f\u884c\u60c5\u4e2d\u8868\u73b0\u4e0d\u4f73\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u53ef\u80fd\u4e3a\uff1a1\uff09ETF\u6570\u636e\u6ede\u540e3\u5929\uff0c\u65e0\u6cd5\u6355\u6349\u5b9e\u65f6\u8d44\u91d1\u6d41\uff1b2\uff09\u8d39\u7387\u4e0eOI\u5728\u9707\u8361\u5e02\u4e2d\u6307\u5411\u6027\u51cf\u5f31\uff1b3\uff09\u5468\u56db\u5468\u4e94\u7684V\u578b\u53cd\u5f39\u7531\u94fe\u4e0a\u8d44\u91d1\u4e3b\u5bfc\uff0c\u4f46\u8bc4\u5206\u4f53\u7cfb\u672a\u8986\u76d6\u94fe\u4e0a\u6307\u6807\u3002\u4e0b\u5468\u9700\u7ed3\u5408\u8ba2\u5355\u6d41Delta\u4e0eCoinbase\u6ea2\u4ef7\u7684\u77ed\u5468\u671f\u53d8\u5316\u8f85\u52a9\u5224\u65ad\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n
\n

10. \u4e0b\u5468\u60c5\u666f\u63a8\u6f14<\/p>\n

\n
<\/div>\n

\u60c5\u666fA\u00b7\u9707\u8361\u5ef6\u7eed\uff08\u6982\u738750%\uff09\uff1a<\/p>\n

\u89e6\u53d1\u6761\u4ef6\uff1a\u4ef7\u683c\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u5468VAL<\/span>$62,750\u4e0eBSL$64,680\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0cETF\u8d44\u91d1\u6d41\u5468\u4e00\u81f3\u5468\u4e09\u7d2f\u8ba1-100M\u81f3+100M\u4e2d\u6027\u533a\u95f4\uff0c\u8d39\u7387\u4fdd\u6301|rate|<0.01%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8def\u5f84\u63a8\u6f14\uff1a\u5468\u4e00\u5f00\u76d8\u540e\u6d4b\u8bd5VAL<\/span>$62,750\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u82e5\u5b88\u4f4f\u5219\u9707\u8361\u4fee\u590d\u81f3\u5468POC<\/span>$64,050\uff0c\u5468\u4e2d\u5728POC<\/span>\u4e0a\u4e0b$500\u533a\u95f4\u53cd\u590d\u62c9\u952f\uff0c\u5468\u4e94\u524d\u6d4b\u8bd5VAH<\/span>$64,500\u4f46\u96be\u7834\u3002\u5168\u5468\u6ce2\u52a8\u5e45\u5ea6$62,500-$65,000<\/span>\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5173\u952e\u4f4d\uff1a\u652f\u6491$62,750\uff08VAL<\/span>\uff09\u3001\u4e2d\u67a2$64,050\uff08\u5468POC<\/span>\uff09\u3001\u963b\u529b$64,500\uff08VAH<\/span>\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5931\u6548\u4f4d\uff1a\u5468\u4e2d\u4efb\u610f\u65f6\u6bb5\u6536\u76d8\u7a81\u7834$64,680\u6216\u8dcc\u7834$61,520\u5219\u60c5\u666f\u5931\u6548\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u60c5\u666fB\u00b7\u5411\u4e0a\u7a81\u7834\uff08\u6982\u738730%\uff09\uff1a<\/p>\n

\u89e6\u53d1\u6761\u4ef6\uff1a\u5468\u4e00\u6216\u5468\u4e8cETF\u5355\u65e5\u51c0\u6d41\u5165>150M\uff0c\u540c\u65f6Coinbase\u6ea2\u4ef7\u8f6c\u6b63>+50\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u8d44\u91d1\u8d39\u7387\u5347\u81f3+0.015%<\/span>\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c4\u5c0f\u65f6Delta\u8f6c\u4e3a\u6b63\u503c>+2,000 BTC\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8def\u5f84\u63a8\u6f14\uff1a\u5468\u4e00\u81f3\u5468\u4e09\u7a81\u7834BSL$64,680\u5e76\u7ad9\u7a33VAH<\/span>$64,500\u4e0a\u65b9\uff0c\u6fc0\u6d3b\u8ffd\u6da8\u4e70\u76d8\uff0c\u5468\u4e2d\u6d4b\u8bd5\u5468\u9ad8$64,692\uff0c\u82e5\u6210\u4ea4\u91cf\u914d\u5408\u5219\u6311\u6218CME\u7f3a\u53e3\u4e0b\u6cbf$69,000\u3002\u5168\u5468\u76ee\u6807\u533a\u95f4$65,000-$69,000<\/span>\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5173\u952e\u4f4d\uff1a\u7a81\u7834$64,680\uff08BSL<\/span>\uff09\u2192\u7ad9\u7a33$64,692\uff08\u5468\u9ad8\uff09\u2192\u4e0a\u653b$66,000\uff08\u6574\u6570\u5173\u53e3\uff09\u2192\u6311\u6218$69,000\uff08CME\u7f3a\u53e3\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5931\u6548\u4f4d\uff1a\u7a81\u7834$64,680\u540e48\u5c0f\u65f6\u5185\u56de\u843d\u81f3$64,050\u4e0b\u65b9\u5219\u5047\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u8f6c\u9707\u8361\u6216\u770b\u8dcc\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u60c5\u666fC\u00b7\u5411\u4e0b\u7834\u4f4d\uff08\u6982\u738720%\uff09\uff1a<\/p>\n

\u89e6\u53d1\u6761\u4ef6\uff1a\u5468\u4e00\u5f00\u76d8\u8dcc\u7834VAL<\/span>$62,750\u540e\u65e0\u6cd5\u6536\u56de\uff0cETF\u5468\u4e00\u5468\u4e8c\u8fde\u7eed\u51c0\u6d41\u51fa>100M\/\u65e5\uff0cOI\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0b\u964d>3%\uff0c4\u5c0f\u65f6Delta\u6301\u7eed\u8d1f\u503c<-3,000 BTC\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8def\u5f84\u63a8\u6f14\uff1a\u5468\u4e00\u5468\u4e8c\u730e\u53d6SSL$61,520\uff0c\u82e5\u5b88\u4e0d\u4f4f\u5219\u52a0\u901f\u4e0b\u63a2\u5468\u4f4e$61,297\uff0c\u6050\u614c\u60c5\u7eea\u4e0b\u53ef\u80fd\u7011\u5e03\u81f3\u6708\u5ea6\u4f4e\u70b9$57,759\u3002\u5168\u5468\u98ce\u9669\u533a\u95f4$58,000-$62,000<\/span>\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5173\u952e\u4f4d\uff1a\u8dcc\u7834$62,750\uff08VAL<\/span>\uff09\u2192\u6d4b\u8bd5$61,520\uff08SSL\u7b2c\u4e00\u6863\uff09\u2192\u51fb\u7a7f$61,297\uff08\u5468\u4f4e\uff09\u2192\u6df1\u8dcc$57,759\uff08\u6708\u4f4e\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5931\u6548\u4f4d\uff1a\u8dcc\u81f3$61,520\u9644\u8fd1\u82e5\u51fa\u73b04\u5c0f\u65f6Delta>+5,000 BTC\u4e14OI\u4e0d\u518d\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u5219\u53ef\u80fd\u5f62\u6210V\u578b\u53cd\u8f6c\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n
\n

11. \u4e0b\u5468\u4ea4\u6613\u8ba1\u5212\u00b7\u5468\u4e00\u5f00\u5c40<\/p>\n

\n
<\/div>\n

\u4e0b\u5468\u5173\u952e\u4ef7\u4f4d\u8868\uff08\u7531\u9ad8\u81f3\u4f4e\uff09\uff1a<\/p>\n

$69,000<\/span>\uff1aCME\u7f3a\u53e3\u4e0b\u6cbf\uff08Q1\u4e2d\u6bb5\u7f3a\u53e3\uff09\uff0c\u7a81\u7834\u76ee\u6807\u4f4d<\/p>\n

$64,692<\/span>\uff1a\u4e0a\u5468\u9ad8\u70b9\uff0807-06\u5f62\u6210\uff09\uff0cBSL\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u7c07<\/p>\n

$64,680<\/span>\uff1a\u6446\u52a8\u9ad8\u70b9\uff0807-10\u5f62\u6210\uff09\uff0cBSL\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u7c07<\/p>\n

$64,500<\/span>\uff1a\u5468VAH<\/span>\uff0c\u4ef7\u503c\u533a\u4e0a\u6cbf<\/p>\n

$64,050<\/span>\uff1a\u5468POC<\/span>\uff0c\u591a\u7a7a\u5e73\u8861\u4e2d\u67a2<\/p>\n

$63,750<\/span>\uff1a\u4e0a\u5468\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\uff0c\u5fc3\u7406\u53c2\u8003\u4f4d<\/p>\n

$62,750<\/span>\uff1a\u5468VAL<\/span>\uff0c\u4ef7\u503c\u533a\u4e0b\u6cbf<\/p>\n

$62,630<\/span>\uff1a\u5f53\u524d\u4ef7<\/p>\n

$61,520<\/span>\uff1a\u6446\u52a8\u4f4e\u70b9\uff0807-08\u5f62\u6210\uff09\uff0cSSL\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u7c07<\/p>\n

$61,297<\/span>\uff1a\u4e0a\u5468\u4f4e\u70b9\uff0807-06\u5f62\u6210\uff09\uff0cSSL\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u7c07<\/p>\n

$57,759<\/span>\uff1a\u6708\u5ea6\u4f4e\u70b9\uff0807-01\u5f62\u6210\uff09\uff0c\u6df1\u5ea6\u652f\u6491<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u5468\u4e00\u5f00\u5c40\u6570\u636e\uff08W10\u6743\u5a01\u6570\u503c\uff09\uff1a<\/p>\n

\u7a97\u53e3\u8868\u73b0\uff1a\u5f00$64,168\u2192\u6536$63,870\uff08-0.46%<\/span>\uff09\uff0c\u9ad8$64,207\/\u4f4e$63,634\uff0c\u632f\u5e450.89%\u3002<\/p>\n

PDH<\/span>\/PDL<\/span>\u6e05\u626b\uff1a\u65e0\u6e05\u626b\u53d1\u751f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4eca\u65e5IB\uff1a$63,538<\/span>–$64,412<\/span>\uff08\u5bbd\u5ea61.38%>1%\uff0c\u5bbdIB\u9884\u793a\u8d8b\u52bf\u65e5\u6982\u7387\u9ad8\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5f53\u524d\u4f4d\u7f6e\uff1a\u4ef7\u683c$62,630\u4f4d\u4e8eIB\u4e0b\u6cbf$63,538\u4e0b\u65b9\uff0c\u5904\u4e8eIB\u5916\u5f31\u52bf\u533a\u57df\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u5468\u4e00\u4e09\u65b9\u6848\uff1a<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u65b9\u68481\u00b7\u505a\u591a\uff08\u89e6\u53d1\u5f0f\uff09\uff1a<\/p>\n

\u89e6\u53d1\uff1a\u4ef7\u683c\u91cd\u8fd4IB\u5185\u5e76\u7a81\u7834$63,750\uff08\u4e0a\u5468\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\uff09\uff0c\u914d\u54081\u5c0f\u65f6Delta\u8f6c\u6b63>+500 BTC\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5165\u573a\uff1a$63,800<\/span><\/p>\n

\u6b62\u635f\uff1a$63,400<\/span>\uff08IB\u4e0b\u6cbf$63,538\u4e0b\u65b9\uff0c\u7ed9200\u70b9\u7f13\u51b2\uff09<\/p>\n

\u76ee\u68071\uff1a$64,050<\/span>\uff08\u5468POC<\/span>\uff09<\/p>\n

\u76ee\u68072\uff1a$64,500<\/span>\uff08VAH<\/span>\uff09<\/p>\n

\u76ee\u68073\uff1a$64,680<\/span>\uff08BSL<\/span>\uff0c\u7a81\u7834\u5219\u6301\u4ed3\u81f3$65,000+\uff09<\/p>\n

\u903b\u8f91\uff1a\u5f53\u524d\u4ef7$62,630\u5904\u4e8eIB\u5916\uff0c\u82e5\u91cd\u8fd4IB\u5185\u8bf4\u660e\u5468\u4e00\u8df3\u7a7a\u4f4e\u5f00\u540e\u4fee\u590d\u6210\u529f\uff0c\u914d\u5408Delta\u8f6c\u6b63\u786e\u8ba4\u4e70\u76d8\u4ecb\u5165\uff0c\u76ee\u6807\u6536\u590d\u5468POC<\/span>\u5e76\u6d4b\u8bd5VAH<\/span>\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u65b9\u68482\u00b7\u505a\u7a7a\uff08\u89e6\u53d1\u5f0f\uff09\uff1a<\/p>\n

\u89e6\u53d1\uff1a\u8dcc\u7834$62,500\u6574\u6570\u5173\u53e3\uff0c\u5e76\u5931\u5b88\u5468VAL<\/span>$62,750\uff0c\u914d\u54084\u5c0f\u65f6Delta\u6301\u7eed\u8d1f\u503c<-2,000 BTC\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5165\u573a\uff1a$62,450<\/span><\/p>\n

\u6b62\u635f\uff1a$62,950<\/span>\uff08\u5468VAL<\/span>$62,750\u4e0a\u65b9\u7ed9200\u70b9\uff09<\/p>\n

\u76ee\u68071\uff1a$61,520<\/span>\uff08SSL\u7b2c\u4e00\u6863\uff09<\/p>\n

\u76ee\u68072\uff1a$61,297<\/span>\uff08\u5468\u4f4e\uff09<\/p>\n

\u76ee\u68073\uff1a$60,000<\/span>\uff08\u5fc3\u7406\u6574\u6570\u5173\u53e3\uff0c\u82e5\u8fde\u7eed\u8dcc\u7834\u5219\u6301\u4ed3\u81f3$57,759\uff09<\/p>\n

\u903b\u8f91\uff1a\u5f53\u524d\u4ef7\u5df2\u5728VAL<\/span>\u8fb9\u7f18\uff0c\u82e5\u5931\u5b88\u5e76\u8dcc\u7834$62,500\u5219\u786e\u8ba4\u5f31\u52bf\uff0c\u4e0b\u65b9\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u7c07$61,520-$61,297<\/span>\u4e3a\u8fd1\u671f\u730e\u53d6\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u6b62\u635f\u8bbe\u4e8eVAL<\/span>\u4e0a\u65b9\u9632\u5047\u8dcc\u7834\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u65b9\u68483\u00b7\u89c2\u671b\uff08\u6ee1\u8db3\u4ee5\u4e0b2-3\u6761\uff09\uff1a<\/p>\n

1. \u4ef7\u683c\u5728$62,500-$63,750<\/span>\u533a\u95f4\u9707\u8361\uff0c\u672a\u660e\u786e\u7a81\u7834\u6216\u8dcc\u7834\u5173\u952e\u4f4d\uff1b<\/p>\n

2. ETF\u8d44\u91d1\u6d41\u5468\u4e00\u6570\u636e\u672a\u516c\u5e03\u524d\uff08\u5317\u4eac\u65f6\u95f4\u5468\u4e8c\u665a\uff09\uff0c\u65e0\u6cd5\u786e\u8ba4\u673a\u6784\u6001\u5ea6\uff1b<\/p>\n

3. 4\u5c0f\u65f6Delta\u5728-1,000\u81f3+1,000 BTC\u4e4b\u95f4\u4e2d\u6027\u9707\u8361\uff0c\u65e0\u660e\u786e\u65b9\u5411\uff1b<\/p>\n

4. \u8d44\u91d1\u8d39\u7387\u4fdd\u63010\u81f3+0.01%<\/span>\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u591a\u7a7a\u529b\u91cf\u5747\u8861\u65e0\u62e5\u6324\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

\u5468\u4e00\u6267\u884c\u7eaa\u5f8b\uff1a<\/p>\n

– \u5f53\u524d\u4e09\u56e0\u5b50\u72b6\u6001”\u8fc7\u70ed\/\u9876\u90e8\u98ce\u9669”\uff0c\u4e0d\u8ffd\u591a\uff0c\u4ec5\u5728\u56de\u8e29\u786e\u8ba4\u540e\u505a\u591a\uff1b<\/p>\n

– \u4f18\u5148\u7b49\u5f85\u4ef7\u683c\u91cd\u8fd4IB\u6216\u8dcc\u7834VAL<\/span>\uff0c\u7ed9\u51fa\u660e\u786e\u65b9\u5411\u4fe1\u53f7\u540e\u518d\u5165\u573a\uff1b<\/p>\n

– \u82e5\u5468\u4e00\u5168\u5929\u6536\u76d8\u56de\u5230IB\u5185\uff08$63,538<\/span>–$64,412<\/span>\uff09\uff0c\u5219\u5468\u4e8c\u8f6c\u9707\u8361\u7b56\u7565\uff1b<\/p>\n

– \u82e5\u5468\u4e00\u6536\u76d8\u4ecd\u5728IB\u5916\u4e0b\u65b9\uff0c\u5219\u5468\u4e8c\u7ee7\u7eed\u770b\u7a7a\u81f3SSL$61,520\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n
\n

12. \u4e00\u53e5\u8bdd\u603b\u7ed3<\/p>\n

\n
<\/div>\n

\u53bb\u6760\u6746\u540e\u9707\u8361\u7b51\u5e95\uff0c\u4e0b\u5468\u4f18\u5148\u89c2\u671bVAL<\/span>$62,750\u5f97\u5931\uff0c\u7834\u5219\u7a7a\u81f3$61K\uff0c\u5b88\u5219\u591a\u81f3$64K\u3002<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

> \u62a5\u544a\u5b8c\u6210\u65f6\u95f4\uff1a2026-07-13 21:04 SGT<\/p>\n

> \u4e0b\u4e00\u4efd\u7b80\u62a5\uff1a\u4eca\u65e5\u76d8\u4e2d\u66f4\u65b0\uff08\u82e5\u4ef7\u683c\u6ce2\u52a8>2%\u6216\u51fa\u73b0\u91cd\u5927\u8ba2\u5355\u6d41\u4fe1\u53f7\uff09<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

\n Binance USDT\u6c38\u7eed\u5408\u7ea6 \u00b7 BTC AI \u4ea4\u6613\u7cfb\u7edf \u00b7 \u4ec5\u4f9b\u53c2\u8003\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2026-07-13 21:04 SGT Binance USDT\u6c38\u7eed\u5408\u7ea6 \u00b7 BTCUSDT BTC \u25bc $ […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-380","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-3"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jianbao.661688.xyz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/380","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jianbao.661688.xyz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jianbao.661688.xyz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jianbao.661688.xyz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=380"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jianbao.661688.xyz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/380\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jianbao.661688.xyz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=380"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jianbao.661688.xyz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=380"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jianbao.661688.xyz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=380"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}